当前股市最新看法: 由于经过了一年的长期反复大跌并加上最近的又一次大暴跌,而且由于中央政府在周五召开紧急会议要稳定证券市场，使之重新回到健康的发展道路上去，所以，下周一起极度恐慌的投资者的抛盘将会大幅减少，大盘跌势将趋缓。大盘和个股的底部构筑需要较长的时间,人气的重聚是有一个过程的。就基本面而言,国民经济和全球经济发展在数字上来讲倒退了30%左右,而我们的股市倒退了60%以上了,股市已经领先于经济基本面跌到了谷底,目前因为市场主力机构(现在的基金经理大多是新手)和各路庄家仍恐惧于所谓的不确定因素而过于谨慎不但没有作为,而且部分娃娃基金和保险资金还对股市进行反复恶意砸盘，扰乱了整个市场。相反活跃于江浙沪深京等地的游资继续活跃,因为现在是真实的历史性底部区域内,所以游资敢于大胆做多.从资金面技术面的另一种角度来讲,去年有大批机构包括大量基金对高价股的大比例增仓,这批巨量资金现在在高价股板块上动弹不得,根本无法大量出货,小老百姓根本没有意愿接盘,这个情况使得基金主力在2008年里完全失去了主动权和主导权.大盘回升的压力主要在于高价股板块.这批集中在高价股票上的巨量资金现在只有两条路可以选择:1、继续死扛半年到一年；2、自己主动打4个以上的跌停板然后作放弃。现在是熊市,而且是一步到位式的熊到了底，熊市里面的大戏就是资产重组.经过这几天的又一次暴跌，大盘实际上已跌也跌不到哪里去了，涨也一下子涨不了多少，因人气的极度低迷，大盘可能以长时间弱市整理为主，并维持极低的日成交量,在2008年余下的半年时间里，大盘是没有多少作为的，盈利的机会主要在于资产重组低价股行情及少部分的历十多年不败的价格已极低的绩优成长股。从6月10日至6月11日的最新所有沪市个股TOPVIEW详细数据表明：此两天时间内，基金为主的机构主要买入或增仓绝对低价的银行股钢铁股及少部分中价重仓股；市场主流资金以买入绝对低价的低价股为主，这是一个方向。现在是底部区域内,作为大户来讲,宜采用一半短线,一半中线的操作策略。历经世界上最惨烈之暴跌后的中国A股市场（越南的经济总规模只抵中国的一个大城市而已，其股票市场的规模极小无法与中国股市相提并论的），现在正是金砖砸脚的时候，请抓住机会！



个人观点,仅供参考.



周大卫



大户理财Q Q 群:43099956

2008年6月16日



特别公开推荐一次股票：600545新疆城建，有一庄家重仓深套，周五收盘价仅为4。94元；600483福建南纺，有二个庄家共同持仓，深套，周五收盘价仅为4。61元；600400红豆股份，有二个庄家共同持仓，深套，并已完成定向增发，周五收盘价为4。98元。当时的荣华实业，就是有几个庄家共同持仓作战，具有类比意义。

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